Is there room for sterling to make gains against the dollar?

Is there room for sterling to make gains against the dollar?

The British pound is widely forecast to continue rising against the U.S. dollar.

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The British pound is hovering at its highest level in more than three years — and analysts are divided on the potential for further upside.

Britain’s currency was last seen trading around the $1.36 mark on Wednesday morning in London.

It marked a slight drop from Tuesday, when sterling hit its highest level since January 2022.

So far this year, the pound has surged 8.7% against the greenback.

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GBP/USD price

Against the euro, however, sterling is down 2.9% year-to-date. It was last seen trading marginally higher against the euro zone currency, with one pound buying around 1.173 euros.

U.S. dollar story this year,” she told CNBC by email on Wednesday.

U.S. President Donald Trump’s unpredictable trade policies shook confidence in American assets earlier this year, which in turn has sparked concerns in markets about de-dollarization.

De-dollarization is a 'natural evolution': Brookings Institution's Robin Brooks

Paul Jackson, global head of asset allocation research at Invesco, said sterling was on a recovery journey from the “extreme low” seen in the aftermath of former British Prime Minister Liz Truss’s so-called mini budget, which sparked a severe sell off of the pound and U.K. government bonds in 2022.

He agreed, however, that much of the movement this year was attributable to dollar weakness, pointing out sterling’s simultaneous depreciation against the euro.  

post-liberation day sell-off of the U.S. dollar.

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Dollar index year to date.

“Markets had been overly bearish on the UK following Chancellor Reeves’ Budget,” he added. “Consequently, positive data surprises became supportive to GBP. However, we continue to expect UK economic growth and inflation to slow; signs are already showing, which the Bank of England is also acknowledging. This supports further BoE rate cuts, and ultimately weighs on the pound.”

Mangwiro also noted that in his view, de-dollarization risks seemed “over-blown.”

“Sentiment will likely reverse as US growth outlook rebounds and corporate earnings remain resilient,” he said. “Along with current extreme short USD positioning, this should support a USD rebound, dragging Cable lower.”

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